The Redsox and other addictions

May 31, 2007

Cora – Lugo

Filed under: Uncategorized — drbob00 @ 1:13 am

Wow… yesterday I suggested that Cora could be starting over Lugo (no brainer there if we’re talking bats) and today Lugo sits for the first time recent memory with Cora playing SS. Spooky. Here’s hoping they don’t start resting Ortiz for Hinskie 🙂

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May 30, 2007

StatDummy lineups – et tu Papi?

Filed under: Uncategorized — drbob00 @ 2:45 am

Yahoo Stat dummy lineups as at May 28th 2007

The stat dummy lineups attempt to do 2 things:
1) Assuming speed isn’t significant, use a simple algorithm to determine a lineup which is close to maximum run output. The method is essentially: Best OPS at #3 and #4. Best remaining OBP at #1. Fill remaining spots by decreasing OPS.
2) Assuming platoon splits are real, present lineups for Right handed pitching and Left handed pitching.

Further to the above:
3) The team total occupies a position like a player, therefore there are 10 spot in a 9 man lineup.
4) 0.750 is considered replacement level. Here players above this mark are shown in green and those below in red.


Player_ _ _ _ _ _Pos v._ _ AB AVG_ _OBP_ _SLG_ _OPS
Dustin Pedroia_ _1_ _RHP_ _81 0.309 0.385 0.469 0.854
Álex Cora_ _ _ _ 2_ _RHP_ _62 0.323 0.377 0.548 0.925
David Ortiz_ _ _ 3_ _RHP_ 118 0.339 0.466 0.703 1.169
Kevin Youkilis_ _4_ _RHP_ 142 0.373 0.434 0.585 1.018
Mike Lowell_ _ _ 5_ _RHP_ 130 0.308 0.37_ 0.531 0.901

Total_ _ _ _ _ _ 6_ _RHP 1273 0.273 0.352 0.44_ 0.79
Jason Varitek_ _ 7_ _RHP_ _96 0.25_ 0.345 0.385 0.731
J.D. Drew_ _ _ _ 8_ _RHP_ 107 0.234 0.371 0.318 0.689
Wily Mo Peña_ _ _9_ _RHP_ _34 0.206 0.308 0.353 0.661
Manny Ramírez_ _10_ _RHP_ 140 0.236 0.301 0.357 0.658

Doug Mirabelli_ 11_ _RHP_ _38 0.211 0.25_ 0.395 0.645
Coco Crisp_ _ _ 12_ _RHP_ 129 0.233 0.296 0.333 0.629
Julio Lugo_ _ _ 13_ _RHP_ 151 0.232 0.273 0.331 0.604

Eric Hinske_ _ _14_ _RHP_ _45 0.156 0.278 0.267 0.544

DP leads off v. RHP with Cora at #2 as the 3rd highest OPS on the team 🙂 Great having some speed ahead of the boppers. Compared to a regular lineup replace Lugo with Cora (big difference) and Crisp with Pena (small difference).

Player_ _ _ _ _ _Pos v._ _ AB AVG_ _OBP_ _SLG_ _OPS
Jason Varitek_ _ 1_ _LHP_ _38 0.316 0.422 0.526 0.949
Wily Mo Peña_ _ _2_ _LHP_ _22 0.318 0.375 0.636 1.011
Manny Ramírez_ _ 3_ _LHP_ _47 0.362 0.483 0.723 1.206
Mike Lowell_ _ _ 4_ _LHP_ _47 0.383 0.434 0.617 1.051
Eric Hinske_ _ _ 5_ _LHP_ _ 7 0.286 0.286 0.714 1
Kevin Youkilis_ _6_ _LHP_ _47 0.298 0.421 0.447 0.868

Total_ _ _ _ _ _ 7_ _LHP_ 434 0.293 0.387 0.463 0.85
Julio Lugo_ _ _ _8_ _LHP_ _45 0.222 0.345 0.378 0.723
Dustin Pedroia_ _9_ _LHP_ _33 0.273 0.385 0.333 0.718
J.D. Drew_ _ _ _10_ _LHP_ _40 0.25_ 0.333 0.375 0.708
David Ortiz_ _ _11_ _LHP_ _56 0.268 0.364 0.339 0.703

Coco Crisp_ _ _ 12_ _LHP_ _38 0.263 0.333 0.342 0.675
Álex Cora_ _ _ _13_ _LHP_ _10 0.3_ _0.3_ _0.3_ _0.6
Doug Mirabelli_ 14_ _LHP_ _ 4 0_ _ _0.2_ _0_ _ _0.2

Tek and his ungodly OBP leads off against LHP what might be the slowest top 6 of an order I’ve seen in a while 🙂 Papi only clocks in at #11?!
Compared to a regular lineup vs. LHP replace Crisp with Pena (huge difference), Ortiz with Hinske (huge difference *gulp*).

May 15, 2007

The best thing for the Yankees was the Redsox

Filed under: Uncategorized — drbob00 @ 1:56 am

There’s a nice piece in the Hardball Times checking Forbes’ evaluation of Franchises’ value and profits.

Using the Forbes piece seems to be a double edged sword:

  • On one hand the author gets a lot of work done in short time.
  • On the other he asserts you shouldn’t just take the Forbes piece at face value (while actually doing it 🙂 ).

He values the Sox the 3rd most valuable franchise at m$724 (behind the Yankees, Mets) with the 3rd highest increase in profits behind the Marlins and Mets.

Another interesting note – apparently the sale price for the Redsox to the Henry consortium had a flow on effect to the other high end franchises, most notably the 2 New York teams 🙂

May 14, 2007

[nonsox] Holy Cow!

Filed under: Uncategorized — drbob00 @ 1:29 am

Jack Cust has come up for the As with Piazza injured. In just 22ab he has 7 hits with 5hr and 11rbi! Holy Cow!

May 11, 2007

Cunning Stunts

Filed under: Uncategorized — drbob00 @ 2:54 am

As reported in one of my favorite reads at the Globe Extra Bases Blog

It appears Toronto considered Wakefield such a threat that they left the dome roof open despite the chance of rain.

As expected Karma rewarded this choice with a blowout on Halladay and the Sox 5 hitting the Jays. Sox took the series 3-0 outscoring the Jays 26-5.

Can you imagine the reaction from the fans if there’d been a downpour with the loss?

May 9, 2007

The voices are talking to me

Filed under: Uncategorized — drbob00 @ 5:09 am

It’s been tickling the back of my neck for days.

If I were a Yankee fan, what would be driving me bananas about the Sox at the moment?

And the envelope reads…. The other guys. Just when you think you’ve got a handle on your rival….. The Sox role players bust it open.

  1. Okajima gets AL Rookie of the Month.
  2. Beckett (not the staff ace and didn’t cost $100M, says he’d sign again tomorrow for his present contract) leads the universe in wins.
  3. Alex Cora(?!) goes on a leg conditioning program recommended by Boras in the off season and his bat goes bananas. His obp is around .500 at the moment?
  4. Tavarez, Sox #5, fronts 3 staff aces in 2 weeks and gives the Sox a chance at a win in most of those games.
  5. Pedroia heats up his bat.
  6. Tim drops his era under 4.
  7. Crisp flashes the deft glove in center.
  8. Lugo steals 9 bases(?!)
  9. Only Timlin, Tavarez and Romero are showing signs for concern on the entire staff

And all this with regulars like Manny and Drew off the boil! Huzzah! 😉

Can I be considered for such an award?

Filed under: Uncategorized — drbob00 @ 1:47 am

This was the reported response from Okajima when being advised via translator he’d received the AL rookie of the month award. His performance has in practical terms supplanted Papelbon as the ongoing Bullpen feelgood subplot to our present record.

Very impressed.

Clemens signs with [insert highest bidder here]

Filed under: Uncategorized — drbob00 @ 12:56 am

Just don’t know about that one. $1M a week? If there’s a difference between the empire and the rebels it might be purchases like this.

On the one hand, the Yanks get to swap their worst starter for a legend fresh from the senior circuit.

On the other hand, checking the rotations, the highest cost per week starters for the Sox are Beckett and Matsuzaka, each entering their prime years, locked up for 3 years and 6 years, and each still around $700k/w.

And that’s not even counting in Schill who’s 4 years younger and half the price. Just don’t get it. It looks like the Yanks are struggling and Clemens is taking that to the bank.

Best quoteline from the Bosox mailing list so far:

What a deal for Clemens. $28M prorated and he gets Octobers off! 🙂

Vunderkind! Bad avg no donut!

Filed under: Uncategorized — drbob00 @ 12:49 am

Can I please note that it’s confusing when people understand we praise Youkilis for his OBP yet criticise Pedroia for his avg (.257) when his OBP is 100 points higher (.354) – placing him midpoint on the team.

And yes those numbers are post improvement – when his average was in the dim .150s . Yet this just adds to idea that his overall walk rates lift him from 3rd worst on the team for avg to midpoint for OBP.

Hey I’ll admit to being a PD fan boy. But the loss of Loretta and his (2007 ~.450 obp) to Houston stings.

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